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Aggregation of experts' opinions and conditional consensus opinion by the Steiner point

Abstract : This paper considers the issue of aggregation of experts' opinions expressed through not necessarily independent and even conflicting probability distributions or multiple priors. The paper addresses the elicitation of the consensus distribution by introducing the Steiner point of the set of all common distributions among experts and derives its conditional probabilities on future events.
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https://hal-paris1.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03260206
Contributor : Umr 8174 Centre d'Économie de la Sorbonne <>
Submitted on : Monday, June 14, 2021 - 5:21:41 PM
Last modification on : Tuesday, July 13, 2021 - 3:18:57 AM

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Marcello Basili, Alain Chateauneuf. Aggregation of experts' opinions and conditional consensus opinion by the Steiner point. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, Elsevier, 2020, 123, pp.17-25. ⟨10.1016/j.ijar.2020.04.005⟩. ⟨hal-03260206⟩

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